E-commerce logistics market seen topping $1.65 trillion by 2030

The Business Research Company says the global e-commerce logistics market is on track to surpass $1.654 trillion by 2030, driven by faster delivery demand, online shopping growth and new logistics technology. Asia Pacific is projected to become the largest regional market, while transportation remains the biggest segment.

Why it matters: - E-commerce logistics is becoming a bigger piece of the global transport economy as online retail, same-day delivery expectations and automation reshape supply chains. - The market’s projected scale signals continued investment in fulfillment, warehousing, last-mile delivery and cross-border logistics. - Asia Pacific and the U.S. are set to anchor growth, which matters for carriers, retailers, warehouse operators and tech providers.

What happened: - The Business Research Company released its E-Commerce Logistics Global Market Report 2026 with a forecast that the market will exceed $1,654 billion by 2030. - The report puts the market’s compound annual growth rate at 14% through 2030. - The report estimates the broader couriers and messengers market at about $1,662 billion in 2030. - The report pegs transport services at $12,477 billion in 2030, with e-commerce logistics making up close to 13% of that total.

The details: - Asia Pacific is forecast to become the largest regional market by 2030 at $552 billion, up from $269 billion in 2025. - Asia Pacific is projected to grow at 15% CAGR, supported by online retail expansion, fulfillment and warehousing investment, smartphone and internet adoption, AI in supply chain optimization and government policies promoting digital commerce. - The U.S. is expected to remain the largest single-country market at $429 billion by 2030, rising from $256 billion in 2025. - The U.S. market is projected to grow at 11% CAGR, supported by broad e-commerce adoption, same-day delivery demand and investment in automated fulfillment and real-time tracking. - By service type, transportation is expected to lead with 57% of the market, or $948 billion by 2030. - The report says transportation growth is supported by high parcel volumes, electric delivery vehicles, route optimization, third-party logistics providers, multimodal transport and last-mile infrastructure. - The report also segments the market by domestic and international operations, standard and same-day delivery, product categories including apparel, automotive, FMCG, healthcare and electronics, and B2B and B2C end users. - Amazon.com Inc. was the largest company in 2025 with a 2% market share. - FedEx, Deutsche Post, United Parcel Service, SF Express, DSV and Kuehne + Nagel each held about 1%. - Maersk and Nippon Express each held roughly 0.3%, while Cainiao Network was close to 0.04%. - The market is fragmented, with the top 10 companies accounting for just 6% of revenue in 2025.

Between the lines: - The fragmentation suggests no single logistics provider controls the category, even as Amazon leads the field. - The report points to a market where scale, automation and network reach matter more than brand alone. - Technology is increasingly central, with AI, warehouse automation, IoT tracking, data analytics and blockchain all framed as efficiency and visibility tools. - Parcel Perform launched a partnership program in September 2024 that links logistics providers, technology firms and retailers on a shared digital platform. - The report says online shopping growth adds about 2.5% annual growth, faster delivery demand adds about 2.3%, and technology-driven logistics adds about 2.0%. - Transportation, warehousing and value-added services are projected to add more than $811 billion in value by 2030, including $457 billion for transportation, $236 billion for warehousing and $118 billion for value-added services.

What's next: - Companies are likely to keep investing in automated fulfillment centers, cross-border logistics, smart warehouse robotics and micro-fulfillment sites. - Retailers and logistics providers are expected to expand last-mile capacity and real-time tracking to meet delivery expectations. - The report’s company list suggests competition will remain broad, with global carriers, regional specialists and digital-native logistics firms all fighting for share.

The bottom line: - E-commerce logistics is moving from support function to core infrastructure for online retail, and the next phase of growth will hinge on speed, visibility and automation.